Pre-screening value of serum albumin and the glucose-lymphocyte ratio as the “transport-activation” effectors of immune checkpoint inhibitors in small cell lung cancer
Original Article

Pre-screening value of serum albumin and the glucose-lymphocyte ratio as the “transport-activation” effectors of immune checkpoint inhibitors in small cell lung cancer

Chenxi Wang1#, Jinhe Xu1#, Ying Chen1,2,3, Shuting Lu4, Weiwei Xue5, Feng Cheng1, Yuxin Guo1, Wenting Zhang1, Ruiying Rao2, Xinyu Zhang2, Nong Zhou1, Liangchong Shi3, Masatsugu Hamaji6, Hirokazu Taniguchi7, Zongyang Yu1,2,3 ORCID logo

1Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; 2Fuzong Teaching Hospital of Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Fuzhou, China; 3Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, 900th Hospital of People’s Liberation Army Joint Logistic Support Force, Fuzhou, China; 4Guangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou, China; 5Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University, Xining, China; 6Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nara Medical University, Nara, Japan; 7Clinical Oncology Center, Nagasaki University Hospital, Nagasaki, Japan

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: Z Yu, C Wang; (II) Administrative support: Z Yu; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: C Wang, J Xu; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: F Cheng, Y Guo, W Zhang, R Rao, X Zhang, N Zhou; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: C Wang, J Xu, W Xue, S Lu, Y Chen; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

#These authors contributed equally to this work.

Correspondence to: Zongyang Yu, PhD. Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, 900th Hospital of People’s Liberation Army Joint Logistic Support Force, 156 Xierhuan North Road, Fuzhou 350025, China; Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; Fuzong Teaching Hospital of Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Fuzhou, China. Email: hxkyzy2024@163.com.

Background: Small cell lung cancer (SCLC), a therapy-resistant neuroendocrine carcinoma, shows variable responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and chemotherapy regimens. This study aimed to evaluate the pre-screening utility of peripheral blood serum albumin (ALB) and the glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio (GLR) as biomarkers for identifying populations of SCLC patients likely to benefit from ICIs.

Methods: A retrospective cohort of SCLC patients receiving ICIs between 2018 and 2023 was analyzed. The optimal prognostic thresholds for ALB and the GLR were determined using maximally selected rank statistics. The survival outcomes were assessed via Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression. A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis adjusted for confounders was performed. A prognostic nomogram integrating ALB, the GLR, and clinical variables was developed. Model performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results: Among 126 eligible patients, 93 (73.8%) had extensive-stage SCLC at diagnosis, and 33 (26.2%) presented with brain metastasis. The optimal cut-off values of ALB and the GLR for predicting overall survival (OS) were 40.9 g/L and 5.02, respectively. Multivariable Cox regression identified ALB [hazard ratio (HR) =0.415, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.247–0.696] and GLR (HR =0.560, 95% CI: 0.315–0.994) as independent prognostic factors favoring longer OS, with ALB showing stronger protective association. Patients with both high ALB and a high GLR demonstrated the most favorable OS among the four subgroups (P<0.001). The prognostic model, which incorporated ALB, the GLR, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and clinical stage, had a C-index of 0.752 [area under the curve (AUC) values: 0.804 at 12 months and 0.781 at 24 months].

Conclusions: Pre-treatment serum ALB and the GLR represent cost-effective, readily accessible biomarkers for stratifying SCLC patients who may derive survival benefits from ICI-based regimens. These findings warrant validation in prospective multicenter studies.

Keywords: Small cell lung cancer (SCLC); immunotherapy; serum albumin (serum ALB); glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio (GLR); biomarkers


Submitted Jul 16, 2025. Accepted for publication Sep 12, 2025. Published online Sep 25, 2025.

doi: 10.21037/tlcr-2025-825


Highlight box

Key findings

• The pre-treatment serum albumin (ALB ≥40.9 g/L) level and the glucose-lymphocyte ratio (GLR ≥5.02) were shown to independently predict improved survival in small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

• The combined biomarker model [concordance index (C-index) =0.752] outperformed the single-parameter models.

What is known, and what is new?

• SCLC has a poor prognosis, and the efficacy of ICIs in the treatment of SCLC is limited.

• Peripheral blood serum ALB and inflammatory/metabolic markers like the GLR are emerging as prognostic tools in other cancers.

What is the implication, and what should change now?

• This study established clinically accessible ALB/GLR thresholds specifically for SCLC immunotherapy stratification.

• It also established an integrated nomogram combining the GLR, ALB, clinical stage, carcinoembryonic antigen, and neuron-specific enolase markers.


Introduction

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC), a highly aggressive neuroendocrine malignancy, represents 13–15% of all lung cancers (1,2). Approximately 70% of SCLC patients are diagnosed at the extensive stage, which is characterized by distant metastasis (3,4). Platinum-based chemotherapy (carboplatin/cisplatin combined with etoposide) has been the first-line standard treatment for SCLC for over two decades (5,6); however, the clinical outcomes of SCLC patients remain dismal. The median overall survival (OS) for such patients is approximately 10 months, with a 5-year survival rate of less than 7% (1,7). The advent of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting programmed death-1/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-1/PD-L1) has modestly improved patient outcomes, as evidenced by the landmark IMpower133, CASPIAN and ASTRUM-005 trials, which reported significant OS benefits with atezolizumab (12.3 vs. 10.3 months), durvalumab (12.9 vs. 10.5 months) and serplulimab (15.4 vs. 10.9 months) combined with chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone. However, subgroup analyses revealed heterogeneous responses, with a substantial proportion of patients deriving limited benefit from immunotherapy (8-10). This therapeutic heterogeneity underscores an urgent unmet need to develop predictive biomarkers to prospectively identify immunotherapy-responsive subpopulations to advance precision medicine in SCLC.

There is emerging evidence that serum albumin (ALB) is a pivotal modulator of ICI pharmacokinetics (11). Over 90% of circulating monoclonal antibody-based ICIs bind reversibly to ALB, which governs drug stability, tissue distribution, and catabolic clearance (12). Concurrently, lymphocyte functionality—a cornerstone of anti-tumor immunity—is intrinsically linked to glucose metabolism. The glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio (GLR), which reflects systemic inflammatory status and immune-metabolic crosstalk, has emerged as a prognostic indicator across malignancies (13). Notably, an elevated GLR is correlated with impaired cytotoxic T-cell activity and tumor-associated immunosuppression, and thus may have utility in predicting ICI responsiveness (14).

This study sought to address the gaps in the research by investigating the combined predictive value of ALB and the GLR in extensive-stage SCLC patients receiving ICIs. We hypothesized that the pre-treatment ALB level and GLR could be used to stratify patients into distinct metabolic-immunologic phenotypes with differential capacities of benefiting from immunotherapy. The objectives of the study were threefold. Specifically, this study sought to: (I) establish prognostic cut-off values for ALB and the GLR using survival-driven optimization; (II) validate the independent predictive utility of these biomarkers through multivariable modeling; and (III) develop a clinically deployable nomogram integrating these biomarkers with established prognostic variables. We present this article in accordance with the TRIPOD reporting checklist (available at https://tlcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tlcr-2025-825/rc).


Methods

Study design and participants

The retrospective cohort study evaluated consecutive SCLC patients treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors from The 900th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force, People’s Liberation Army between January 2018 and October 2023. The study flowchart is schematically illustrated in Figure 1. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Ethics Board of The 900th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force, People’s Liberation Army (No. 2025-044). Individual consent for this retrospective analysis was waived.

Figure 1 Study flowchart. ALB, albumin; CR, complete response; DCR, disease control rate; GLR, glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio; ORR, objective response rate; OS, overall survival; PD, progressive disease; PD-1, programmed death-1; PD-L1, programmed death-ligand 1; PFS, progression-free survival; PR, partial response; SCLC, small cell lung cancer; SD, stable disease.

Data collection and endpoints

Demographic variables (i.e., sex, age, and smoking history) and clinical parameters [i.e., histological subtype, lymphocyte count (×109/L), baseline serum ALB (g/L), the GLR, body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2), Veterans Administration Lung Study Group (VALG) stage, and treatment response] were extracted from electronic health records. The baseline laboratory values were obtained ≤3 weeks before treatment during routine clinical evaluation.

Primary endpoints

The primary endpoints of the study were OS, which was defined as the time from treatment initiation to death from any cause, and progression-free survival (PFS), which was defined as the time to radiographical progression or death as assessed by the immune Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (iRECIST) (15).

Secondary endpoints

The secondary endpoints of the study were the objective response rate (ORR), which was defined as a complete/partial response as per the RECIST (version 1.1) (16), and the disease control rate (DCR), which was defined as stable disease and the ORR.

Inclusion/exclusion criteria

Inclusion criteria

Patients were included in the study if they met the following inclusion criteria:

  • Were aged ≥18 years;
  • Had histologically/cytologically confirmed SCLC;
  • Had ≥1 measurable lesion (non-irradiated); and
  • Had completed ≥2 cycles of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor therapy;
  • Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≤2 score.

Exclusion criteria

Patients were excluded from the study if they met any of the following exclusion criteria:

  • Had other primary malignant tumors;
  • Had an active infection requiring systemic antibiotics ≤3 weeks pre-/post-ICI therapy;
  • Had used an immunomodulatory drug for >4 weeks; and/or
  • Had insufficient follow-up data.

Biomarker quantification

The GLR was calculated as follows: GLR = fasting blood glucose (mmol/L)/lymphocyte count (×109/L). The optimal prognostic thresholds for ALB and the GLR were determined using maximally selected rank statistics via the R package “survminer”, with cut-off values optimized to stratify patients based on maximal survival discrimination. The stability of these optimal cut-off values was further internally validated using bootstrap resampling with 500 repetitions to calculate 95% confidence interval (CI) via the R package “rms”.

Statistical analysis

The statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (version 26.0) and R statistical software (version 4.3.3). The survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank testing. A multivariable Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors, reported as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. The final multivariable Cox proportional hazards model included six variables. With 81 observed death events, the events-per-variable (EPV) ratio was 13.5, which exceeds the commonly recommended threshold of 10.

Propensity score matching (PSM)

The PSM analysis was conducted using nearest-neighbor matching at a ratio of 1:1 (caliper =0.1 standard deviation). The covariates were age, gender, BMI, clinical stage, brain metastasis, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and diabetes. The missing data (<5% variables) were imputed multiple times using the “mice” package in R, and a chained equation algorithm was used to enhance the accuracy and robustness of the statistical analysis.

Nomogram development

Significant predictors (a P value <0.05 in the univariate analysis) were incorporated into a Cox model to predict 12-/24-month OS. Internally validated using a 500-repetition bootstrap resampling process to provide an unbiased estimate of model performance. The original queue is resampled to get a dataset of the same size. To assess external validity, model performance was assessed using Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and, a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot analysis. In addition, decision curve analysis (DCA) (using the “rmda” package in R) was used to evaluate the clinical utility of the model.


Results

Patient characteristics

Among 126 eligible patients, 93 (73.8%) presented with extensive-stage SCLC at initial diagnosis, while 33 (26.2%) had brain metastasis. Of the patients, 47 (37.3%) received therapeutic or prophylactic radiation targeting brain, pulmonary lesions, or lymph nodes. The baseline demographics and clinical characteristics of the patients are summarized in Table 1.

Table 1

Clinical characteristics of the patients

Characteristics Value
Age (years) 63.0 [55.25, 69.75]
Gender
   Male 114 (90.5)
   Female 12 (9.5)
BMI (kg/m2)
   <18.5 10 (7.9)
   18.5–24.0 79 (62.7)
   >24.0 37 (29.4)
Smoking history
   Yes 76 (60.3)
   No 50 (39.7)
Pathological type
   Pure SCLC 123 (97.62)
   Mixed SCLC 3 (2.38)
Clinical stage
   Limited stage 33 (26.2)
   Extensive stage 93 (73.8)
Brain metastasis
   No 93 (73.8)
   Yes 33 (26.2)
History of radiotherapy
   No 79 (62.7)
   Yes 47 (37.3)
Diabetes
   No 113 (89.7)
   Yes 13 (10.3)
Other comorbidities
   No 81 (71.1)
   Yes 33 (28.9)

Data are presented as median [range] or n (%). BMI, body mass index; SCLC, small cell lung cancer.

Optimal cut-off values for ALB and the GLR

The optimal threshold analysis identified the cut-off values for ALB and the GLR as 40.9 g/L and 5.02, respectively, in patients before receiving ICIs (Figure 2A,2B). Bootstrap internal validation (500 repetitions) confirmed the stability of these cut-offs, with 95% CIs of 39.8–42.1 g/L for ALB and 4.65–5.38 for the GLR. These cut-off values optimally stratified patients into distinct prognostic groups (Figure 2C,2D). Patients with ALB <40.9 g/L were allocated to the low ALB group, while those with ALB ≥40.9 g/L were allocated to the high ALB group. Similarly, patients with a GLR <5.02 were allocated to the low-GLR group, while those with a GLR ≥5.02 were allocated to the high GLR group. These patients respectively accounted for 56.3% (n=71), 43.7% (n=55), 72.2% (n=91), and 27.8% (n=35) of all the patients in the study. The differences between groups were statistically significant (P<0.001).

Figure 2 Distribution of the ALB levels and GLRs, and optimal cut-off values in the SCLC patients. (A,B) The upper panels of the histogram show the distribution of ALB (A) and the GLR (B), where the low-expression group (blue) and the high-expression group (red) have different density profiles. The lower panels show the distribution scatter plots of the maximally selected rank statistics of ALB and the GLR. The dashed line marks the optimal cut-off value (ALB cut-off value: 40.9 g/L; GLR cut-off value: 5.02). (C,D) The distribution of SCLC patients in different serum ALB and GLR groups. Boxes indicate median and quartiles, and lines show the overall distribution of the data. ALB, albumin; GLR, glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio; SCLC, small cell lung cancer.

Correlation analysis of ALB and the GLR, and the ORR

Lower GLR levels were associated with the ORR (P=0.03) and DCR (P=0.04), but no statistically significant correlation was observed between different ALB levels and the ORR (P=0.38) and DCR (P=0.29) (Table 2).

Table 2

Analysis of the correlation between different levels of ALB and the GLR, and the objective efficacy of immunotherapy for SCLC

Response evaluation ALB GLR
Low (n=71) High (n=55) HR (95% CI) P Low (n=91) High (n=35) HR (95% CI) P
PR 36 (50.70) 33 (60.00) 0.686 (0.336–1.398) 0.30 55 (60.44) 14 (40.00) 2.292 (1.034–5.081) 0.04
ORR 37 (52.11) 33 (60.00) 0.725 (0.356–1.480) 0.38 56 (61.54) 14 (40.00) 2.400 (1.081–5.327) 0.03
DCR 65 (91.55) 53 (96.36) 0.409 (0.079–2.109) 0.29 88 (96.70) 30 (85.71) 4.889 (1.102–21.695) 0.04

Data are presented as n (%) if not otherwise specified. ALB, albumin; CI, confidence interval; DCR, disease control rate; GLR, glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio; HR, hazard ratio; ORR, objective response rate; PR, partial response; SCLC, small cell lung cancer.

The objective efficacy analysis revealed statistically significant differences in the treatment outcomes between the low and high GLR groups. Notably, the low-GLR group had a significantly higher ORR (61.54% vs. 40.0%; P=0.03) and DCR (96.70% vs. 85.71%; P=0.04) than the high GLR group. Conversely, no statistically significant correlation was observed between the different ALB levels and the ORR (52.11% vs. 60.00%, P=0.38) and DCR (91.55% vs. 96.36%, P=0.29) (Table 2).

Correlation analysis of ALB and the GLR, and OS

The survival analysis stratified by the ALB level and GLR revealed distinct prognostic patterns. The median OS was substantially prolonged in subgroups with elevated biomarker levels (high ALB: 29.0 months vs. low ALB: 13.0 months; P<0.001; high GLR: 26.0 months vs. low GLR: 15.0 months; P=0.03) (Figure 3A,3B), while no significant correlation was observed in PFS (ALB: P=0.20; GLR: P=0.17) (Figure S1). The univariable analysis revealed that smoking history, clinical stage, CEA, NSE, ALB, and the GLR were associated with the efficacy of immunotherapy in SCLC patients. The multivariable analysis confirmed that clinical stage (HR =1.689, 95% CI: 0.922–3.097, P=0.09), ALB (HR =0.415, 95% CI: 0.247–0.696, P=0.001), and the GLR (HR =0.560, 95% CI: 0.315–0.994, P=0.048) were independent predictive factors (Figure 3C). Thus, both high ALB and high GLR could be used as potential predictors of immunotherapy efficacy in SCLC patients.

Figure 3 Correlation analysis of patient survival and the ALB level and GLR. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for the ALB level (A) and GLR (B) before ICI treatment; (C) the results of unifactorial and multifactorial risk analyses for OS. For categorical variables, the reference is the “No” or “Low” group. For continuous variables, the HR represents the risk associated with each 1-unit increase; (D,E) distribution of propensity score for the ALB (D) and GLR (E) subgroups; (F,G) Kaplan-Meier survival curves for different ALB and GLR subgroups after PSM. ALB, albumin; BMI, body mass index; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; CI, confidence interval; GLR, glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio; HR, hazard ratio; ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor; NSE, neuron-specific enolase; OS, overall survival; PSM, propensity score matching.

Propensity score-matched validation

To mitigate potential confounding from baseline characteristics, 1:1 PSM was performed using MatchIt with the following covariates: age, sex, BMI, smoking history, chronic diseases, clinical stage, brain metastasis, radiotherapy history, and diabetes. The multivariable Cox regression generated propensity scores for ALB/GLR stratification. The post-PSM analysis retained 38 matched pairs in the ALB cohort and 28 pairs in the GLR cohort, achieving a balanced baseline characteristic (all P>0.05; Table S1). The survival analysis of the PSM-adjusted cohort confirmed a sustained OS advantage in the high ALB patients versus the low ALB patients (median OS: 29.0 vs. 13.0 months, P=0.002), while no such prognostic significance was found in relation to the GLR stratification (P=0.19). These findings validate ALB as an independent predictor of immunotherapy outcomes in SCLC (Figure 3D-3G).

Prognostic nomogram development

To predict OS in patients with SCLC, the following four predictive models were constructed: Model 1, which included CEA, NSE, and clinical stage; Model 2, which incorporated serum ALB into Model 1; Model 3, which integrated the GLR into Model 1; and Model 4, which combined Model 1 with both ALB and the GLR. The results of the multivariate Cox analysis for Model 4 were further visualized using nomograms (Figure 4A). The model results emphasized ALB and NSE as significant predictors of the prognosis of SCLC treated with ICIs (Figure 4A). The C-index value of the column-line graph was 0.752 (95% CI: 0.667–0.776, P<0.001), indicating that the model has moderate to good discriminatory ability. The C-index values of Models 1, 2, and 3 were 0.704 (95% CI: 0.648–0.759), 0.749 (95% CI: 0.696–0.802), and 0.700 (95% CI: 0.644–0.756), respectively, and the C-index value of Model 4 was 0.752 (95% CI: 0.694–0.811). The C-index value of Model 4 was better than the C-index values of the other models, indicating good discriminatory ability.

Figure 4 Joint prediction model construction and evaluation of OS prediction models. (A) Nomogram for predicting the survival probability of SCLC patients. This nomogram is used to predict the probabilities related to 12 and 36 months. For each patient, points are assigned based on the values of ALB, GLR, clinical stage, CEA, and NSE by locating their respective values on the corresponding scales. The total points are then calculated by summing these individual points. Finally, the probabilities associated with 12 and 36 months can be determined by finding the total points on their respective probability scales. (B) ROC curves of the four predictive models for 12-month survival probability. (C) ROC curves of the four predictive models for 24-month survival probability. (D) Kaplan-Meier survival curve for OS in the combined groups of ALB and GLR. Survival curves for four different combinations of high ALB (≥40.9 g/L) and a high GLR (≥5.02) (ALB+GLR+, red), high ALB and a low GLR (<5.02) (ALB+GLR−, blue), low ALB (<40.9 g/L) and a high GLR (ALB−GLR+, green), and low ALB and a low GLR (ALB−GLR−, orange). The horizontal axis indicates OS time (months) and the vertical axis indicates survival probability. Model 1 included CEA, NSE, and clinical stage; Model 2 incorporated serum ALB into Model 1; Model 3 integrated the GLR into Model 1; Model 4 combined Model 1 with both ALB and the GLR. ALB, albumin; AUC, area under the curve; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; GLR, glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio; NSE, neuron-specific enolase; OS, overall survival; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; SCLC, small cell lung cancer.

Time-dependent ROC curves were used to compare the predictive performance of each prognostic factor and prediction model. The results showed that the combined ALB and GLR model (i.e., Model 4) had higher predictability than any independent factor. The 12- and 24-month area under the curve (AUC) values for the OS prediction model were 0.804 and 0.781, respectively (Figure 4B,4C), which also suggested that the model had good discriminatory ability. The calibration curves for OS showed good agreement between prediction and observation (Figure S2A). DCA demonstrated that the nomogram provided a superior net benefit across a wide range of threshold probabilities (Figure S2B).

The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis of the different ALB and GLR cohorts showed a distinct difference in the survival rates between the four cohorts, such that the patients with high ALB and a high GLR exhibited significantly better OS than the other patients (P<0.001) (Figure 4D).


Discussion

SCLC is a highly aggressive malignancy with a dismal prognosis (1,17). While the integration of ICIs into first-line therapy has modestly improved the survival outcomes of such patients, the overall ORR of extensive-stage SCLC patients to ICI therapy is about 15–20%, with some patients exhibiting primary resistance or only short-term benefits from immunotherapy (18-20). The heterogeneous response of patients underscores the urgent need for robust biomarkers to identify those most likely to benefit from immunotherapy. In this study, we showed that ALB and the GLR were independent predictors of survival in SCLC patients receiving ICIs, and their combined use enhances prognostic stratification. Our findings provide novel insights into the interplay between drug transportation, immune inflammation activation, and therapeutic efficacy, which may guide personalized treatment strategies.

As a key plasma protein synthesized by the liver, ALB serves as both a nutritional indicator and a well-established prognostic biomarker in oncology. Emerging pan-cancer evidence and machine-learning models suggest that elevated ALB levels predict improved OS following ICIs therapy across various malignancies (21-24). Consistent with these reports, our study demonstrated that patients with high ALB levels (≥40.9 g/L) had significantly longer median OS compared to those with low ALB levels (median OS: 29 vs. 13 months, P<0.001), supporting its role as a robust predictor of survival in immunotherapy. Notably, we found no significant association between ALB levels and ORR, DCR, or PFS, aligning with previous observations in ICI-treated esophageal cancer (25). This discrepancy suggests that ALB may influence long-term survival through mechanisms beyond initial tumor response. As the most abundant transport protein in blood, ALB facilitates the delivery of antitumor agents and modulates the immune microenvironment by regulating inflammatory responses and immune cell function (21,26,27). Additionally, ALB shares homeostatic pathways with immunoglobulin G (IgG), and its serum level reflects IgG catabolism, directly influencing the pharmacokinetics and clearance of therapeutic monoclonal antibodies (28,29).

In relation to the setting of the optimal cut-off value, although previous studies have generally used 3.7 g/dL as the optimal cut-off value for ALB to assess the relevance of clinical efficacy (23,30), Zheng et al. (28) revealed a significant dose-dependent relationship between baseline ALB levels and the efficacy of ICI therapy by conducting an in-depth analysis of the cumulative effect of ALB on the therapeutic response. Using maximally selected rank statistics, we identified 40.9 g/L as the optimal serum ALB cutoff for OS prediction in ICI-treated patients.

The GLR reflects a critical interplay between systemic metabolic status and immune function. In cancer biology, abnormalities in glucose metabolism are one of the characteristics of cancer, and such changes may contribute to the development of immune evasion mechanisms and lead to resistance to multiple therapies, including ICIs (31). Lymphocytes, as one of the key immune cells in the systemic inflammatory response, are involved in the cell-mediated anti-tumor immune response, and ICIs enhance the body’s anti-tumor immune response by blocking the binding between the immune cells and the tumor cells, and enhancing the recognition of the tumor by the immune cells (32). This mechanism not only increases the functional activity of lymphocytes in the immune microenvironment, but also promotes the remodeling of the tumor microenvironment, which results in a decrease in the ability of tumor cells to escape from the immune system (33,34). While the GLR has emerged as a potential prognostic biomarker in multiple cancers, its predictive value for immunotherapy outcomes in SCLC remains underexplored.

By investigating the impact of GLR on immunotherapy outcomes in SCLC patients, we found that GLR expression levels were significantly associated with rapid tumor response (ORR: 61.5% vs. 40.0%, DCR: 96.7% vs. 85.71%), suggesting that GLR may serve as a potential predictor of short-term efficacy in immunotherapy. We observed a high GLR was associated with a longer OS benefit (median OS: 26 vs. 15 months, P=0.03). The results of our study contradicted those of previous studies, such as the results of studies associating high GLR values with adverse OS in patients with colorectal cancer, non-SCLC (35), and gallbladder cancer (36). Hyperglycemia may fuel tumor progression by enhancing glycolysis, lactate production, and the activation of oncogenic pathways (37,38). Conversely, lymphocytes can inhibit tumor progression by activating cell-mediated immune responses and stimulating the release of other cytokines, such as interferon (39,40). Some researchers (41,42) have suggested that a high-glucose environment may enhance anti-tumor immune responses by modulating the metabolic reprogramming of lymphocytes. Furthermore, studies indicate that the synergistic elevation of glucose and lactate levels enhances the efficacy of PD-1 blockade therapy. This enhancement occurs through the upregulation of nuclear factor of activated T cells (NFAT) in regulatory T cells, a process that promotes the induction of effector regulatory T cells and leads to increased PD-1 expression. Furthermore, lactate can enhance immune responses by activating the GPR31 receptor expressed on phagocytic dendritic cells (43,44). Therefore, we hypothesize that during immunotherapy, a high-glucose environment enhances the therapeutic efficacy of PD-1 inhibition and limits glucose-starvation-induced promotion of cancer cell metastasis (45), thereby correlating with improved OS. However, it must be cautiously emphasized that this study does not provide direct evidence supporting this speculative mechanism. Furthermore, while the prognostic significance of the GLR was no longer statistically significant after PSM (P=0.19), suggesting it may not function as a robust independent predictor, the Kaplan-Meier curves continued to suggest a favorable survival trend in the high GLR group. This result may be related to insufficient sample size after matching, making it impossible to draw statistically significant conclusions. It indicates that the GLR may still hold potential clinical value as a complementary biomarker. Since this study failed to demonstrate whether subsequent fluctuations in blood glucose levels affect the prediction of treatment efficacy, future studies should include more stable glycemic markers such as HbA1c. Therefore, the association between GLR and survival benefit in this study should be regarded as a preliminary, exploratory finding. Its potential biological mechanisms and general applicability in SCLC immunotherapy require urgent validation through prospective cohort studies incorporating multi-omics data.

Finally, our study constructed a comprehensive prognostic prediction model for SCLC immunotherapy by integrating multidimensional indicators such as ALB, the GLR, CEA, NSE, and clinical stage. Compared with prediction models that rely only on a single factor of ALB or GLR in combination with clinical stage and tumor markers, the comprehensive model in this study demonstrates good discrimination, calibration, and positive DCA results, indicating its potential for future translation into a clinical tool. Furthermore, compared to a predictive model from a real-world study integration of clinical and blood parameters, it also demonstrates superior discriminatory power (AUC: 0.804 vs. 0.760 at 12 months) (46). The synergistic prognostic value of ALB and the GLR is not only reflected in their independent ability to predict the immunotherapy response, but also in their complementary roles in regulating the tumor microenvironment and systemic immune status.

This study identified ALB and the GLR as novel prognostic biomarkers and developed a predictive model for SCLC patients receiving ICIs; however, it had several limitations. First, as a single-center retrospective study, our model lacks external validation. Its generalizability needs to be confirmed in future prospective, multi-center studies. Second, the PD-L1 expression data were incomplete, precluding any assessment of its synergy with ALB or the GLR. Third, as a biomarker for predicting the additional therapeutic effects of ICI for SCLC, the SCLC subtype has been found to be useful, and there are reports that the SCLC-I type and tumor-associated macrophages (TAM) within the tumor are promising (43,47). This point could not be confirmed in the present study. While our model achieved statistically significant risk stratification (C-index =0.752), its moderate accuracy (ACC =0.70) likely reflects both intrinsic biological features of SCLC and methodological constraints. SCLC’s hallmark metabolic plasticity and rapid clonal evolution may fundamentally limit the predictive ceiling of baseline biomarker-based models, as tumor-immune interactions dynamically shift and exogenous regulation dynamically evolve during treatment. Due to the availability of retrospective data, serial biomarker measurements to capture treatment-induced metabolic adaptation are lacking. Future studies should integrate multi-omics data to address these gaps.

In summary, our findings showed that the pre-treatment ALB level and GLR could serve as clinically accessible biomarkers for identifying the SCLC patients most likely to benefit from immunotherapy. The combined use of these markers significantly enhances long-term survival prediction, offering a practical tool for therapeutic decision making. These results not only provide a stratification strategy for precision immunotherapy but also underscore the intricate interplay between metabolic, nutritional, and immunological mechanisms underlying the ICI response in SCLC.


Conclusions

ALB and the GLR represent cost-effective, clinically accessible biomarkers that synergistically predict survival in SCLC patients undergoing immunotherapy. Their combined use provides complementary biological insights into drug pharmacokinetics, metabolic reprogramming, and immune dysregulation. Future research should explore therapeutic optimization strategies targeting these pathways to improve ICI outcomes.


Acknowledgments

None.


Footnote

Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the TRIPOD reporting checklist. Available at https://tlcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tlcr-2025-825/rc

Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://tlcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tlcr-2025-825/dss

Peer Review File: Available at https://tlcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tlcr-2025-825/prf

Funding: This work was funded by grants from The 900th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force of China: Youth Incubation Special Program (No. 2023QN04), and Fujian Medical University (No. 2022QH1333).

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://tlcr.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/tlcr-2025-825/coif). H.T. receives lecture fees from Daiichi Sankyo, AstraZeneca, Novartis Pharma, Chugai pharmaceutical, MSD, and Taiho Pharmaceutical. The other authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Ethics Board of The 900th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force, People’s Liberation Army (No. 2025-044). Individual consent for this retrospective analysis was waived.

Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.


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Cite this article as: Wang C, Xu J, Chen Y, Lu S, Xue W, Cheng F, Guo Y, Zhang W, Rao R, Zhang X, Zhou N, Shi L, Hamaji M, Taniguchi H, Yu Z. Pre-screening value of serum albumin and the glucose-lymphocyte ratio as the “transport-activation” effectors of immune checkpoint inhibitors in small cell lung cancer. Transl Lung Cancer Res 2025;14(9):4037-4050. doi: 10.21037/tlcr-2025-825

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